Date: October 15, 1998
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"A Feast in Midtown Manhattan" -
Selected Insights from Today's Most
Successful Players in Online Commerce
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Dear Clients, Partners, Friends, and Fellow Marketers:
Here are some of the insights I garnered last week in New York, these mostly from the very well conducted "eRetailing '98" event....an
intimate gathering of many of the top players in Web commerce, as well as some emerging players who are proving concepts and
realizing success. These comments are from specific speakers representing the company noted, usually the CEO/founder, business unit
head, or other senior executive. Direct quotes are so noted, while other comments are based on my notes or understanding of the key
point the speaker was making. They are presented in no particular order. If you'd like further information about the event or the topics
explored, and my assessment of them, please call me to schedule a personal briefing at 612/944-1672, or email me at
grt@gtamarketing.com.
Personalization Technology:
- Amazon: uses it in a big way, very successfully... but are now "taking more of a 'build' approach than 'buy'..."
- Disney: "we use it in all our online stores" (Disney Store Online now 600K visitors/day, ESPN 1.2M/day)
- iQVC: "10% of our customers haved already signed up for our 'My Style Advisor' personalization feature"
- Estee Lauder: "we're meshing two databases, our traditional customer data and the data Web customers provide...using
this, if we 'dialogue' (email) at the right time offering something of value, it works..."
- Post Communications: "personalization is a tactic, not a strategy....don't be too 'in your face' with personalization
upfront....invite the customer in, and dialogue over time"
- N2K (Music Blvd): "we're using our database to drive *impulse* purchases....we now have 500,000 paying customers, and 50% of
our revenues last quarter were repeat orders" (note: Amazon currently at 63%)
Branding:
- Post Communications: a definition their CEO cited (courtesy Esther Dyson)..."the Web is a 'feedback loop' for delivery
of confidence and trust to consumers..." this CEO also displayed a slide from the recent Forrester Web Marketing conference,
contrasting 'branding' in the two worlds:
Offline: Brand Image
- 1-800-Flowers: "our brand investment is mainly offline, in brick-and-mortar stores and call centers..."
- AllHerb.com: "what's necessary is real-world branding, PR....but branding will shift from real-world to online....right
now, only 2% of general population is aware of Yahoo!, and only 12-15% of Amazon...." (implying that will be changing)
- Estee Lauder/Clinique: (re: the power of an established brand) "...we got hundreds of thousands of Web visitors early
on without even trying" (note: obviously, they displayed their URL extensively in their traditional and in-store media,
but that requires little incremental cost or additional effort)
Email Marketing:
- 1-800-Flowers: "we're using it heavily, with success"
- OnSale: "we send 250,000 marketing emails per day--personalized and targeted"
- NetGrocer: "...a problem with email addresees--they tend to have a half-life of only about 6 months!"
Revenues/Success Metrics:
- OnSale: "we're now on a $250M annual revenue run-rate"
- iQVC: "our parent, QVC, is now the largest general merchandiser on the Web" ($2B total revs)...."iQVC itself now
has 240,000 customers (70% female), with 2.7M user sessions in 8/98" (note: so a lot of lookers!) "...we'll do
$50M in sales in '98"
Market Size/Online Consumer Shopping:
- Jupiter Communications: 4Q '97 was $1B, 4Q '98 to be $2.9B (almost 3X)
- Disney: "the pie is growing, it's a new market...so it won't cannibalize our existing business....but it has to
be *impulsive*..."
Online Population Trends:
- Disney: "...20M homes now online, but 10M of them are 'techies'....we're dedicated to bringing 'the next 50M' online..."
Online Transaction Metrics:
- iQVC: "our average purchase is 2.8 items, vs. 1.2 for our TV channel"
- Post Communications: "studies show the current average purchase by a Web buyer varies between 1.5 and 2.6 items"
- Visa: "we're seeing 81% year-over-year growth in EC...two-thirds of our 200M cardholders will be buying online within
two years..."
Customer Acquisition:
- Post Communications: some current figures are Amazon=$30, CDNow=$40, Barnes & Nobles=$89, AOL=$93.....the online
merchant 'byword of the day' that he noted was: "Acquire with the intent to keep, keep with the intent to profit."
- N2K: "we've spent $35 million in new customer acquisition"
Conversion of Online "Lookers":
- iQVC: "...a lot of people are just looking, but our conversion rates are increasing...we have big hopes for Christmas"
- iQVC: "our TV customers watch 40 hours before their first purchase (av), so we're thinking it could be similar on
the 'Net..." [note: but I really think he's expecting a lot less!]
- Clinique (Estee Lauder): "30% of our Web visitors were *not* product users when they first registered on our
site....and we've been very successful in converting these newcomers..."
Advertising/Promotion Spending:
- iQVC: "more aggressive spending in '99"
- Netcentives: "look for a big 4Q push in promotional spending for 'Click Rewards'....$3.5 million"
- Priceline.com: as a huge spender in '98 (in both traditional & online media), I wondered, and you may, too--what did
it get them? according to a study they commissioned, "we're now the second most recognized e-commerce brand in the world
(65M adults)".....and why did they choose William Shatner as their spokesperson? specifically, the CEO said, "because of
the recognizability of his radio voice" (since that was the centerpin of their campaign)..."but also because of his
believability and identification with 'new worlds'...."
What's Necessary for Success Online (What Works)?
- AllHerb.com: "you can't be just a store, you have to be a destination for information...we have to make the
shopping experience more interesting than at the mom-and-pops...that's our challenge"
- OnSale: "the Web is good at 'specialty retailing'...but difficult to tell yet who will succeed"
- 1-800-Flowers: "e-commerce doesn't necessarily mean the transaction has to happen online..."
- N2K: "you need in-depth data analysis & modeling, process & technical design....and you need a 'relationship czar'..."
- ImpulseBuy: "you need a business model that has the ability to make money with partners....and an affiliate management
program is also a must-have: it used to cost $100K to get started, but now it's more cost-effective as companies like
those in our Merch.net consortium are scaling--you can 'rent' it from them!.....look at what your core competencies
are--if Web technology isn't one of them, then outsource!"
- Netcentives: "you must analyze your business, do a 'make vs buy'....you need a suite of programs, and collaboration..."
- Emaginet (eCentives): "we're seeing a shift to online promotions, more and more....because they work"
- Roxy Systems: "over-communicate, and deliver what you promise....there is a strong need for 'human infrastructure' in
an online merchant business....customer service is critical.....we're always hiring 'one person ahead'...."
- Priceline.com: "as 'Net commerce moves out of the early-adopter phase, what matters is a 'compelling consumer
proposition'...like a Wal-Mart's, for example--a vision....what are those? they can be transported from the real
world--there are dozens!....but the ones that will succeed will start with the 'Net *in the center* of what they do...."
What Are Customers Looking For?
- Amazon: "focus on what *value* the customer will get...they're smart--and quite sensitive to 'giving' more
than 'getting'..."
- ImpulseBuy: "try crazy and creative offers! they work....but you, as merchant, know your customers, you know
what 'inspires' them--base your offers on that..."
Future Uncertainties re: Wall Street/Investment Community:
- AllHerb.com: "profitability is coming forward....people can't operate at 14% margins anymore....we see gross
margins in our new online business of 48%, even higher with private label..." [note: but then, his site's only
been up for two weeks]
- OnSale: "valuation metrics are changing...there will be a fundamental sea-change within 6-9 months...Amazon is
a 'brand play', well beyond books....OnSale's focus now in on profitability..."
Costs to Do Business Online:
- Disney: "our online store is equivalent in revenues to 8 of our brick-and-mortar stores....but our staff is
only equivalent to that of 5 stores..."
- 1-800-Flowers: "online is not cheaper anymore!....we do two major re-builds of our site a year, vs. a
bricks-and-mortar store--which has maybe a 3-year life..."
- Post Communications: "the incremental cost of content online is basically zero" [note: once your Web
infrastructure is built--and that doesn't take into account site rebuilds]
Price vs. Customer Service:
- OnSale: "there is more shopping for price...but the trend to focus on price above all else is hurting
customer service...."
- Disney: "first and foremost, we're retailers....so we're not excited about pricing bots....in the end, we're
a brand, and we believe the majority of buyers will *not* be looking for low price..."
Service on the Web:
- Post Communications: "on the Web, service is real-time....customers demand real-time attention..."
- 1-800-Flowers: "we like to 'wow' our customers with service...same-day delivery, weekend delivery, email
response within 1 hour, etc..."
- OnSale: "we provide a lot of detail to our customer online....for example, you can watch your credit card
transaction being processed....we 'kill them with service'..."
- The E-Tailing Group (consultancy): "an old adage we had at Marshall Fields was 'Give the lady what she wants'..."
[note: the message to Web merchants being, take heed of what works in the traditional world!] "....the Web can
actually *shine* in customer service today, because in-store service is becoming so hard to get, due to reduced
staffing and so forth..."
- Streamline Inc. (home shopping & delivery service): "we're a lifestyle solution for the busy suburban family....
we see service as the ultimate differentiator on the Web....and we work hard to convert service failures into wins..."
- Roxy Systems (sells digital products, high-end AV, etc): "our sales in '98 will triple to $8-10M....and customer
service has been the main reason for our success...." (note: they provide tons of information, since theirs is a
highly 'considered purchase'...which works well on the Web, as they note: "pages and pages of it") "....20% of our
sales comes from referrals....it's critical to respond to customers checking order process...confirming the order,
etc...we've even built our own app to let customers get product information via live chat--they'll get their own
customized answer from one of our product experts via a streaming audio file (Real Audio)..."
Pricing on the Web:
- Travelocity: "airlines have lived in a world of 'perfect competition' for years, so the Web is no different
for them...."
- Priceline.com: "the notion of price is archaic--comes from the brick-and-mortar world....price will go away
(the fixed price tag).....there are yet to be business models that relegate price to another level, but
opportunities abound....essentially, price is nothing more than a package of features wrapped around a product...."
[note: this a major concept coming forward in Web commerce, often being referred to as "real-time pricing"]
How to Improve Your Site/Ease-of-Use Issues:
- The E-Tailing Group: "we learn more for our clients by shopping their competitors' sites than any other
way"....."but, until we have sites our mothers can use, our job isn't done!"
And Now a Word from Our Sponsor:
I hope this summary is helpful. Please let me know if I may be of further assistance in helping you understand
the issues and developing best-practices in this exciting new world of online commerce.
Sincerely,
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Graeme Thickins, President
GT&A Strategic Marketing Inc.
*Minneapolis *St.Paul *Anywhere
612/944-1672, Fax 612/944-1673
"Branding & Marketing to Win
in the Knowledge Economy(tm)"
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http://www.gtamarketing.com
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